Showing posts with label baseball. Show all posts
Showing posts with label baseball. Show all posts

Friday, May 4, 2007

2007 NL All Rookie Team

With my AL team out of the way (see below), it's the NL's turn. After that we'll compare the two teams to see who would come out on top in a seven game series.

Catcher-Chris Iannetta, Colorado Rockies
Yes, Iannetta is hitting .182 and is losing playing time to Yorvit Torrealba. Yes, the Sports Flow picked Carlos Ruiz as their catcher, yes he is striking out much much more than he should be. But while there is a month of sample size to suggest he is a bust, there are multiple years of minor league track record that says he is just in a slump. Playing in Coors will help Iannetta, plus there aren't many catching prospects that come along with huge bats, so Iannetta is my guy

First Base-James Loney, LA Dodgers
Loney put up a .901 OPS in 102 at bats in 2006. With Nomar Garciaparra's frequent trips to the DL, Loney could see a lot of action in 2007. He has good power and has the capability to hit for a high average. Loney is poised for a long major league career, but I would predict he will have not as much value in 2007, unless Nomar makes the inevitable DL stint.

Second Base-Eric Patterson, Chicago Cubs
This was probably the toughest position, along with AL catcher, to select. Patterson isn't very close to the majors, but he is the highest rated 2B prospect in the Pecota Top 100. The brother of Corey, Patterson starred at Georgia Tech and in a perfect world would develop into a high enough OBP guy to allow Alfonso Soriano to move to the 3 hole.


Shortstop-Stephen Drew, Arizona Diamondbacks
Scouts say Stephen could eventually end up becoming the better Drew. Considered perhaps the top talent in the 2004 Draft, the Padres took local SS Matt Bush (who is .216/.326/.311) with the #1 overall pick instead due to concerns about Drew's signability (he was represented by Scott Boras who, among other things, got a 20+ million dollar package for Jeremy Guthrie in the 2002 draft). Drew is among a crew of D-Backs young hitters who should be putting up huge numbers for the next decade or so.


Third Base-Andy LaRoche, LA Dodgers
This was a tough decision between LaRoche and Kevin Kouzmanoff, but in the end I went with LaRoche because of his higher ceiling. Kouzmanoff has been struggling a bit in '07, and he plays in a notorious pitchers park. LaRoche won't exactly spend his major league career in a bandbox, but he has more power potential than Kouzmanoff-but he is also at a greater risk to flop.


Leftfield-Josh Hamilton, Cincinnati Reds
One of the best stories so far in this '07 season. Picked one slot ahead of Josh Beckett, Hamilton certainly has been a bust. However, he seemingly has set aside his drug problems for the moment to have a very successful start of the season. Many scouts claim that if Hamilton were to fail as a position player, he could make it to the majors as a pitcher. Hamilton is full of untapped talent, and Baseball America's John Manuel said Hamilton could wind up being the best Rule 5 pick ever-and Johan Santana was a Rule 5 pick.

Centerfield-Chris Young, Arizona Diamondbacks
Young has been called pretty much a lock to go 20/20 in his rookie campaign-even though he might hit .260. Over the long term, Young's ceiling probably isn't as high as a lot of people project it to be, but for 2007 he should be a very valuable player, both in real life and for your fantasy teams.

Rightfield-Jeff Baker, Colorado Rockies
Baker, who attended Clemson and was born in Germany, is somewhat blocked in rightfield by Brad Hawpe. I hope he continues to be blocked since Hawpe is on my fantasy team, but Baker is certainly good enough to play his way into the lineup. He has nearly 1 homer for every 20 AB so far in his brief major league career, but he has also struck out nearly 4 times as much as he has walked. Nonetheless, Baker is a part of a Rockies team that has assembled some of the finest young talent in baseball.



Starting Pitcher- Tim Lincecum, San Francisco Giants
Lincecum is widely considered the best pitching prospect in baseball. Although the acronym TINSTAAPP (There is no such thing as a pitching prospect) certainly holds true in a lot of places, I don't believe this is the case for Lincecum. Some scouts have concerns about his delivery and his extreme workload at Washington, but Baseball Prospectus's Will Carroll doesn't see anything too wrong with his mechanics and he's the best in the business. Lincecum should have a bright major league career, and out of the 2007 rookies probably has the best chance at winning 300 games.


Starting Pitcher-Homer Bailey, Cincinnati Reds
If Lincecum is pitching prospect 1, then Bailey is prospect 1A. A flamethrower that came out of Texas, Bailey would like to join fellow Texans Beckett, Clemens and Ryan who have gained reputations as fireballers. Bailey's strikeout rate so far at AAA has been down, but he should get called up sometime closer to the All-Star break. With Eric Milton out with an injury, there was speculation that Bailey could start this weekend, but I think that when the Reds call Bailey up, they want to make sure he stays up.

Starting Pitcher-Yovani Gallardo, Milwaukee Brewers
Luckily the Brewers are winning and they can avoid rash decisions, such as calling up Gallardo. The Mexico native is 4-1 with a 2.53 ERA so far this year with Nashville, and has allowed just 1 homerun in 42.2 innings. While Gallardo is viewed by scouts as having #2 stuff, he will benefit in Milwaukee because he only has to be the #3 of that staff with Sheets and Capuano-assuming Sheets can stay healthy.

2007 AL All Rookie Team

Kudos to The Sports Flow for coming out with this idea. I was reading their selections and I was trying to decide who I would take for my all rookie team. The only problem was I had too many players I wanted to put on my team. So I decided to have one for the AL and one for the NL.

American League

Catcher-Jeff Mathis, LA Angels
I guess. There's really no one else to put at catcher, and nothing much to say about Mathis. Had 2 HR in 58 AB's in 2005. Definitely a dead spot in the AL lineup.

First Base-Ryan Garko, Cleveland Indians
The Stanford alum's only obstacle in Cleveland is playing time. If he gets into the lineup he will produce. This year he's hitting .284 with 3 HR. The 3:1 K/BB isn't good, but hopefully it's a case of small sample size.

Second Base-Dustin Pedroia, Boston Red Sox
Even though PECOTA rated Pedroia the #6 prospect in all of baseball, I don't see him being that good. However, he will walk more than he strikes out. He should be good for around a .375 OBP, which would be good for a second baseman and nine hitter. On this team though he could bat leadoff.

Shortstop-Alexi Casilla, Minnesota Twins
If I would have made this list a couple months ago, my SS would definitely have been Brandon Wood. However, his move to 3B means Alexi Casilla gets moved into the role. Casilla is PECOTA's #1 SS prospect and the 7th ranked prospect in all of baseball. Casilla is seen as sort of a faster version of Pedroia. Hopefully his plate discipline will improve.

Third Base-Alex Gordon, Kansas City Royals
From college player of the year, to minor league player of the year, to rookie of the year. Gordon is struggling so far in 2007, but he probably just needs time to adjust to major league pitching. Gordon will figure it out, and I see him hitting around 25 homeruns this season.

Leftfield-Adam Lind, Toronto Blue Jays
Lind, who went to South Alabama led the Eastern League (AA) in slugging percentage last year. Lind, who was a first baseman as an amateur, will probably move positions a few times before eventually settling in as a DH. Lind has had a tough go of things so far this season, going .242/.320/.424 in 18 games. But scouts and statheads alike agree that Lind will go on to put up big numbers in his career.

Centerfield-Elijah Dukes, Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Character issues were a big concern for Dukes, but all indications are that he has put those to rest so far with Tampa. With the Rays glut of young outfield talent, Dukes is the one that scouts consider to be the most talented. A proverbial five tool player, Dukes has the potential to be a perennial 20/20 player.

Rightfield-Travis Buck, Oakland Athletics
A rookie out of Arizona State, Buck probably has the least potential out of anybody besides perhaps Mathis and Pedroia. Injuries in the Oakland outfield have pressed Buck into playing time, and all signs point to that being a long term position. Buck has shown power, but figures to be mostly a gap hitter during his major league career.

Designated Hitter-Billy Butler, Kansas City Royals
One scout has called Butler, who was drafted as a third baseman, "the worst professional infielder I've ever seen." Obviously Butler's calling card is his bat. The Royals drafted him in the first round as a signability pick, but Butler has proven to be a potential star, putting up huge numbers at every level. He and Gordon figure to be cornerstones for the next decade.

Starting Pitcher-Matt Garza, Minnesota Twins
The USA Today Minor League Player of the Year, Garza was one out away from losing his rookie status. Inexplicably Garza began 2007 in AAA, but with Sidney Ponson's struggles he doesn't figure to be there for long. Kevin Slowey and Scott Baker are both having better seasons in AAA, but Garza has the highest upside of the three.

Starting Pitcher-Phil Hughes, New York Yankees
Highly regarded as the top pitching prospect in all of baseball, Hughes unfortunately was placed on the Disabled List and will likely not return to the Yankees until July. Hughes has a plus fastball and an amazing curveball, plus he has a major league changeup which sets him apart from a lot of prospects. Picked in the lower half of the first round, Hughes helped spearhead the movement by the Yankees to improve their farm system.

Starting Pitcher-Adam Miller, Cleveland Indians
Miller missed a large chunk of 2005 due to injury, but he still is a top prospect. Miller is still the 6th starter or so in Cleveland, and it is unclear how much time he will spend in the majors in 2007. But he is a huge part of the Tribe's future plans. In 5 starts in Buffalo this year, Miller is 3-0 with a 2.32 ERA and 30 strikeouts to just 11 walks.

-Note: I have never agreed with MLB's policy that Japanese players (a la Daisuke Matsuzaka) should be viewed as rookies, so that is why he is absent from this team.

Leave a comment as to who you would switch out of this team